Tocilizumab versus sarilumab among adults hospitalised with COVID-19: target trial emulation across England and Scotland

B Bang Zheng A Amanj Kurdi A Alain Amstutz A Amelia Green E Emily Herrett J John Tazare Q Qing Wen (Key Laboratory for Medicinal Resources and Natural Pharmaceutical Chemistry, Ministry of Education, College of Life Sciences, Shaanxi Normal University) V Viyaasan Mahalingasivam R Rebecca Smith (Institute of Life Course and Medical Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool Women’s Hospital, Liverpool, United Kingdom) B Brian MacKenna A Amir Mehrkar S Seb Bacon B Ben Goldacre C Chris Robertson S Sir Aziz Sheikh L Laurie Tomlinson

Abstract

Abstract The interleukin-6 (IL-6) inhibitors tocilizumab and sarilumab have been repurposed for COVID-19 treatment. However, discrepancies exist across global and national COVID-19 guidelines, with limited data on the comparative effectiveness between these therapeutics especially during the delta/omicron periods. With the approval of NHS England and Public Health Scotland, we compared their effectiveness among adults hospitalised with COVID-19 using electronic health records data through the OpenSAFELY-TPP (England) and EAVE II (Scotland) platforms. Following the target trial emulation framework, 10,487 patients treated between July 2021 and February 2022, when both drugs were frequently prescribed, were included. In England, 1150 (20.1%) of 5710 participants receiving tocilizumab died by day 28 compared with 820 (20.4%) of 4025 participants receiving sarilumab (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 1.07, 95% CI 0.96-1.19). In Scotland, 114 (29.4%) of 388 participants receiving tocilizumab died by day 28 compared with 97 (27.0%) of 359 participants receiving sarilumab (aHR 0.92, 95% CI 0.68-1.23). There was no evidence of a difference in time to hospital discharge between the groups, and no credible effect modification by variant of concern, vaccination status, age, sex, ethnicity, body mass index, or comorbidities. Our findings provide supportive evidence for both drugs as alternative therapeutic options in COVID-19 in-patient management.

Article Details

Volume / Issue Vol. 17, Issue 1
Published May 15, 2026
ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher Nature Portfolio

Journal Info

Nature Communications

Nature Portfolio

ISSN: 2041-1723 Open Access Life Sciences

Authors (16)

B

Bang Zheng

A

Amanj Kurdi

A

Alain Amstutz

A

Amelia Green

E

Emily Herrett

J

John Tazare

Q

Qing Wen

Key Laboratory for Medicinal Resources and Natural Pharmaceutical Chemistry, Ministry of Education, College of Life Sciences, Shaanxi Normal University

V

Viyaasan Mahalingasivam

R

Rebecca Smith

Institute of Life Course and Medical Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool Women’s Hospital, Liverpool, United Kingdom

B

Brian MacKenna

A

Amir Mehrkar

S

Seb Bacon

B

Ben Goldacre

C

Chris Robertson

S

Sir Aziz Sheikh

L

Laurie Tomlinson