Thermal homogenization of boreal communities in response to climate warming

J Jussi Mäkinen (Research Center for Ecological Change, Organismal and Evolutionary Research Programme, Faculty of Biological and Environmental Sciences) E Emilie E. Ellis (Research Center for Ecological Change, Organismal and Evolutionary Research Programme, Faculty of Biological and Environmental Sciences) L Laura H. Antão A Andréa Davrinche (Research Center for Ecological Change, Organismal and Evolutionary Research Programme, Faculty of Biological and Environmental Sciences) A Anna-Liisa Laine (Research Center for Ecological Change, Organismal and Evolutionary Research Programme, Faculty of Biological and Environmental Sciences) M Marjo Saastamoinen (Research Center for Ecological Change, Organismal and Evolutionary Research Programme, Faculty of Biological and Environmental Sciences) I Irene Conenna (Research Center for Ecological Change, Organismal and Evolutionary Research Programme, Faculty of Biological and Environmental Sciences) M Maria Hällfors (Research Center for Ecological Change, Organismal and Evolutionary Research Programme, Faculty of Biological and Environmental Sciences) A Andrea Santangeli (Research Center for Ecological Change, Organismal and Evolutionary Research Programme, Faculty of Biological and Environmental Sciences) E Elina Kaarlejärvi J Janne Heliölä (Nature Solutions Unit) I Ida-Maria Huikkonen (Nature Solutions Unit) M Mikko Kuussaari (Nature Solutions Unit) R Reima Leinonen (Kainuu Centre for Economic Development, Transport and the Environment) A Aleksi Lehikoinen (Finnish Museum of Natural History) J Juha Pöyry (Nature Solutions Unit) A Anna Suuronen (Nature Solutions Unit) M Maija Salemaa (Natural Resources Institute Finland) T Tiina Tonteri (Natural Resources Institute Finland) K Kristiina M. Vuorio (Nature Solutions Unit) B Birger Skjelbred (Norwegian Institute for Water Research) M Marko Järvinen (Nature Solutions Unit) S Stina Drakare (Department of Aquatic Sciences and Assessment) L Laurence Carvalho (Norwegian Institute for Water Research) E Erik Welk (Department of Geobotany and Botanical Garden, Martin Luther University) G Gunnar Seidler (Department of Geobotany and Botanical Garden, Martin Luther University) P Pieter Vangansbeke F František Máliš R Radim Hédl A Alistair G. Auffret (Department of Ecology) J Jan Plue P Pieter De Frenne J Jesse M. Kalwij (Institute of Geography and Geoecology) J Jarno Vanhatalo (Research Center for Ecological Change, Organismal and Evolutionary Research Programme, Faculty of Biological and Environmental Sciences) T Tomas Roslin (Department of Ecology)

Abstract

Globally, rising temperatures are increasingly favoring warm-affiliated species. Although changes in community composition are typically measured by the mean temperature affinity of species (the community temperature index, CTI), they may be driven by different processes and accompanied by shifts in the diversity of temperature affinities and breadth of species thermal niches. To resolve the pathways to community warming in Finnish flora and fauna, we examined multidecadal changes in the dominance and diversity of temperature affinities among understory forest plant, freshwater phytoplankton, butterfly, moth, and bird communities. CTI increased for all animal communities, with no change observed for plants or phytoplankton. In addition, the diversity of temperature affinities declined for all groups except butterflies, and this loss was more pronounced for the fastest-warming communities. These changes were driven in animals mainly by a decrease in cold-affiliated species and an increase in warm-affiliated species. In plants and phytoplankton the decline of thermal diversity was driven by declines of both cold- and warm-affiliated species. Plant and moth communities were increasingly dominated by thermal specialist species, and birds by thermal generalists. In general, climate warming outpaced changes in both the mean and diversity of temperature affinities of communities. Our results highlight the complex dynamics underpinning the thermal reorganization of communities across a large spatiotemporal gradient, revealing that extinctions of cold-affiliated species and colonization by warm-affiliated species lag behind changes in ambient temperature, while communities become less thermally diverse. Such changes can have important implications for community structure and ecosystem functioning under accelerating rates of climate change.

Article Details

Volume / Issue Vol. 122, Issue 17
Published April 29, 2025
ISSN 0027-8424
Publisher National Academy of Sciences

Authors (35)

J

Jussi Mäkinen

Research Center for Ecological Change, Organismal and Evolutionary Research Programme, Faculty of Biological and Environmental Sciences

E

Emilie E. Ellis

Research Center for Ecological Change, Organismal and Evolutionary Research Programme, Faculty of Biological and Environmental Sciences

L

Laura H. Antão

A

Andréa Davrinche

Research Center for Ecological Change, Organismal and Evolutionary Research Programme, Faculty of Biological and Environmental Sciences

A

Anna-Liisa Laine

Research Center for Ecological Change, Organismal and Evolutionary Research Programme, Faculty of Biological and Environmental Sciences

M

Marjo Saastamoinen

Research Center for Ecological Change, Organismal and Evolutionary Research Programme, Faculty of Biological and Environmental Sciences

I

Irene Conenna

Research Center for Ecological Change, Organismal and Evolutionary Research Programme, Faculty of Biological and Environmental Sciences

M

Maria Hällfors

Research Center for Ecological Change, Organismal and Evolutionary Research Programme, Faculty of Biological and Environmental Sciences

A

Andrea Santangeli

Research Center for Ecological Change, Organismal and Evolutionary Research Programme, Faculty of Biological and Environmental Sciences

E

Elina Kaarlejärvi

J

Janne Heliölä

Nature Solutions Unit

I

Ida-Maria Huikkonen

Nature Solutions Unit

M

Mikko Kuussaari

Nature Solutions Unit

R

Reima Leinonen

Kainuu Centre for Economic Development, Transport and the Environment

A

Aleksi Lehikoinen

Finnish Museum of Natural History

J

Juha Pöyry

Nature Solutions Unit

A

Anna Suuronen

Nature Solutions Unit

M

Maija Salemaa

Natural Resources Institute Finland

T

Tiina Tonteri

Natural Resources Institute Finland

K

Kristiina M. Vuorio

Nature Solutions Unit

B

Birger Skjelbred

Norwegian Institute for Water Research

M

Marko Järvinen

Nature Solutions Unit

S

Stina Drakare

Department of Aquatic Sciences and Assessment

L

Laurence Carvalho

Norwegian Institute for Water Research

E

Erik Welk

Department of Geobotany and Botanical Garden, Martin Luther University

G

Gunnar Seidler

Department of Geobotany and Botanical Garden, Martin Luther University

P

Pieter Vangansbeke

F

František Máliš

R

Radim Hédl

A

Alistair G. Auffret

Department of Ecology

J

Jan Plue

P

Pieter De Frenne

J

Jesse M. Kalwij

Institute of Geography and Geoecology

J

Jarno Vanhatalo

Research Center for Ecological Change, Organismal and Evolutionary Research Programme, Faculty of Biological and Environmental Sciences

T

Tomas Roslin

Department of Ecology