The state value

Abstract

This paper considers the state value using the future contract pricing approach. Our model allows adding an unlimited number of factors that affect the state value. We think this model may be useful to evaluate the performance of the government and the decision-making process by knowing the optimal value and the optimal time for the decision. This dynamic model differs from the traditional pricing model for evaluating the nation’s wealth using the discounted cash flow model (DCF), which does not allow considering the market condition via the risk-neutral approach. The state value determinants are divided into two classes, determinants and sub-determinants. We presented a model to determine the optimal value of the marginal return on assets for making a governmental decision. Traditional DCF issues including pricing intangible components, cash flow uncertainty, and asset marginal yield jumps were taken into account.