The Diffusion of New Technologies

A Aakash Kalyani (Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ,) N Nicholas Bloom (Stanford University and National Bureau of Economic Research ,) M Marcela Carvalho (London Business School ,) T Tarek Hassan (Boston University and National Bureau of Economic Research ,) J Josh Lerner (Harvard University and National Bureau of Economic Research ,) A Ahmed Tahoun (London Business School ,)

Abstract

Abstract We identify phrases associated with novel technologies using textual analysis of patents, job postings, and earnings calls, enabling us to identify four stylized facts on the diffusion of jobs relating to new technologies. First, the development of economically impactful new technologies is geographically highly concentrated, more so even than overall patenting: 56% of the most economically impactful technologies come from just two U.S. locations, Silicon Valley and the Northeast Corridor. Second, as the technologies mature and the number of related jobs grows, hiring spreads geographically. This process is very slow, taking around 50 years to disperse fully. Third, while initial hiring in new technologies is highly skill-biased, over time the mean skill level in new positions declines, drawing in an increasing number of lower-skilled workers. Finally, the geographic spread of hiring is slowest for higher-skilled positions, with the locations where new technologies were pioneered remaining the focus for the technology's high-skill jobs for decades.

Article Details

Volume / Issue Vol. 140, Issue 2
Published April 08, 2025
Pages 1299-1365
ISSN 0033-5533
Publisher Oxford University Press (OUP)

Authors (6)

A

Aakash Kalyani

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ,

N

Nicholas Bloom

Stanford University and National Bureau of Economic Research ,

M

Marcela Carvalho

London Business School ,

T

Tarek Hassan

Boston University and National Bureau of Economic Research ,

J

Josh Lerner

Harvard University and National Bureau of Economic Research ,

A

Ahmed Tahoun

London Business School ,