Statistical data and mortality rates for prostate cancer from 1999 to 2021 in the population of United States-Mexico border areas: Insights from CDC WONDER.

A Aizaz Anwar Khalid (Peshawar Medical College, Swabi, Pakistan) M Muhammad Younas F Fnu Kritika (Indira Gandhi Institute of Medical Sciences, Patna, India) L Laiba Ahmad (Khyber Medical College, Peshawar, Pakistan) S Shabina Bibi (KMU Institute of Medical Sciences, Kohat, Pakistan) R Rumman Javed (5Ayub medical college, Abbottabad, Pakistan) K Kaneez Fatima F Fnu Urooba A Adil Ahmed (Department of Medicine, Northwest School of Medicine, Peshawar, Pakistan, Peshawar, Pakistan) A Ahmad Khan A Asma Chaudhary F FNU Sawaira (5Peshawar Girls Medical College, Peshawar, Peshawar, Pakistan) S Suleman Khan A Asim Shah (2Khyber Medical College, Peshawar, Peshawar, Pakistan) Y Yasar Sattar (West Virginia University, Morgantown , West Virginia, United States) M Muhammad Waqas M Muhammad Usman Haider (Geisinger Health System, Wilkes Barre, Pennsylvania, United States) D David Song (University of Pennsylvania) N Nara Miriam Michaelson (Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA)

Abstract

e17106 Background: Prostate cancer is a leading cause of cancer-related mortality among U.S. men. Thisstudy analyzes prostate cancer mortality data from 1999 to 2021 in populations livingalong the United States–Mexico border. Methods: This cohort study used mortality data from CDC WONDER and U.S. Cancer Statistics.Age-adjusted mortality rates (per 100,000) were analyzed by race/ethnicity, region, andurbanization, with trends assessed using Joinpoint regression to estimate AAPC and95% CIs. Results: A total of 924,528 deaths were identified in the United States and Mexico border from1999 to 2021. Overall, AAMR declined significantly during the study period (AAPC:−2.13; 95% CI, −1.82 to −2.45). Males exhibited higher AAMRs throughout and experienced a marked decline from 1999 to 2014 (APC: −3.51; 95% CI, −2.72 to −3.90), followed by an increase from 2018 to 2020 (APC: 2.64; 95% CI, 0.12 to 4.29). By raceand ethnicity, non-Hispanic Black individuals reported the highest AAMRs, while Asianor Pacific Islanders had the lowest rates. AAMRs across census regions were highest inthe West, whereas the Northeast showed the lowest, with a persistent decline (APC,−2.97; 95% CI, −3.27 to −2.68). Non-metropolitan areas exhibited higher AAMRs with alater upward trend after 2014 (APC, 0.79; 95% CI, −0.26 to 1.85) compared withmetropolitan areas. Conclusions: Prostate cancer mortality declined overall from 1999 to 2021; however, recent increasesand persistent racial and regional disparities—particularly in U.S.–Mexico border andnon-metropolitan populations—highlight the need for targeted public healthinterventions.

Article Details

Volume / Issue Vol. 44, Issue 16_suppl
Published June 01, 2026
ISSN 0732-183X
Publisher Lippincott Williams & Wilkins

Journal Info

Journal of Clinical Oncology

Lippincott Williams & Wilkins

ISSN: 0732-183X Health Sciences

Authors (19)

A

Aizaz Anwar Khalid

Peshawar Medical College, Swabi, Pakistan

M

Muhammad Younas

F

Fnu Kritika

Indira Gandhi Institute of Medical Sciences, Patna, India

L

Laiba Ahmad

Khyber Medical College, Peshawar, Pakistan

S

Shabina Bibi

KMU Institute of Medical Sciences, Kohat, Pakistan

R

Rumman Javed

5Ayub medical college, Abbottabad, Pakistan

K

Kaneez Fatima

F

Fnu Urooba

A

Adil Ahmed

Department of Medicine, Northwest School of Medicine, Peshawar, Pakistan, Peshawar, Pakistan

A

Ahmad Khan

A

Asma Chaudhary

F

FNU Sawaira

5Peshawar Girls Medical College, Peshawar, Peshawar, Pakistan

S

Suleman Khan

A

Asim Shah

2Khyber Medical College, Peshawar, Peshawar, Pakistan

Y

Yasar Sattar

West Virginia University, Morgantown , West Virginia, United States

M

Muhammad Waqas

M

Muhammad Usman Haider

Geisinger Health System, Wilkes Barre, Pennsylvania, United States

D

David Song

University of Pennsylvania

N

Nara Miriam Michaelson

Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA