Predicting the critical temperature of superconductors and materials classification with a balanced dataset without prior knowledge

P P. A. H. Nawoda (Department of Statistics, University of Colombo, College House 1 , 94 Kumaratunga Munidasa Mawatha, Colombo 00700,) G Gayan P. Hettiarachchi (R3 Institute for Newly-Emerging Science Design, Osaka University 2 , 1-2 Machikaneyama, Toyonaka, Osaka 560-0043,) M M. D. T. Attygalle (Department of Statistics, University of Colombo, College House 1 , 94 Kumaratunga Munidasa Mawatha, Colombo 00700,)

Abstract

The discovery of new superconductors through traditional trial-and-error experimental methods is both challenging and costly. A data-driven strategy can speed up the time-consuming exploration processes and also potentially reveal new insights into the complex correlations at play. Several material databases have been created for predicting the superconducting critical temperature (Tc), but they are confined solely to superconducting materials, limiting their prediction capabilities. In addressing this, we compiled a comprehensive open-source dataset encompassing both superconductors and non-superconductors. Our dataset contains 13 415 superconductors and 13 425 non-superconductors, each characterized by 212 features. Novel features, namely, CuO layers, ionic radius, heat of vaporization, cohesive energy, and thermal conductivity with respect to every element in the material were included. Another feature named “material type” was introduced to classify materials as low-temperature superconductors, high-temperature superconductors, and non-superconductors. Various machine learning techniques, including boosting and bagging methods, were employed to predict Tc. The light gradient boosting model emerged as the most effective, achieving a coefficient of determination of 93% and a mean absolute error of 2.93 K. While this novel, comprehensive material dataset is made available to enrich future research, a web application is also developed for predicting Tc of any material in relation to the material type based on the best of trained models.

Article Details

Volume / Issue Vol. 139, Issue 2
Published January 14, 2026
ISSN 0021-8979
Publisher American Institute of Physics

Journal Info

Journal of Applied Physics

American Institute of Physics

ISSN: 0021-8979 Physical Sciences

Authors (3)

P

P. A. H. Nawoda

Department of Statistics, University of Colombo, College House 1 , 94 Kumaratunga Munidasa Mawatha, Colombo 00700,

G

Gayan P. Hettiarachchi

R3 Institute for Newly-Emerging Science Design, Osaka University 2 , 1-2 Machikaneyama, Toyonaka, Osaka 560-0043,

M

M. D. T. Attygalle

Department of Statistics, University of Colombo, College House 1 , 94 Kumaratunga Munidasa Mawatha, Colombo 00700,