Machine learning-based prediction of drug response in ischemia reperfusion animal model

A Asmaa Mohamed Abd ElGwad I Ibrahim Youssef A Abdelrahman Khaled E Eman K. Habib N Nashwa Naguib Omar H Heba F. Khader S Seham Saleh Alaiyed M Mansour Altayyar B Basma Emad Aboulhoda M Marwa Matboli

Abstract

Abstract Myocardial ischemia is a major global contributor to mortality. While reperfusion therapy remains the most effective treatment, it paradoxically leads to myocardial ischemia–reperfusion (MI/R) injury, resulting in irreversible cardiac damage for which no effective interventions currently exist. This underscores the pressing need to unravel the pathogenesis of MI/R injury and devise new therapeutic strategies. In this study, supervised machine learning models, including logistic regression (LR), support vector machines (SVM), random forests (RF), neural networks (NN), and k-nearest neighbors (kNN), were utilized to predict treatment response. The models incorporated molecular and biochemical features to evaluate three drugs: trans-Anethole (TNA), pentoxifylline (PTX), and cyanidin-3-O-glucoside (Cy3G). The sequential forward selection (SFS) method was employed to select the most relevant features for prediction. To assess model performance, metrics such as precision, accuracy, recall (sensitivity), specificity, and the Matthews Correlation Coefficient (MCC) were analyzed for both reduced and complete models. Among the classifiers, kNN demonstrated notable performance, achieving an accuracy of 0.9156 ± 0.0242 and an average area under the ROC curve (AUC) of 0.90 across three cross-validation iterations surpassing all other classifiers. This observed performance is in line with recent literature that employs advanced computational methods in similar domains. A key advantage of our study is the use of a two-layer framework—integrating molecular signatures with biochemical markers—which can provide improved robustness and biological relevance. This multi-layer integration enhances interpretability and better reflects the multifactorial nature of MI/R injury, while supporting model generalization. Feature selection identified one molecular marker (SOX5) and two biochemical markers (dP/dtmax and cTnT) as significant predictors of drug response. This integrative approach has the potential to enhance personalized therapy for myocardial ischemia by enabling precise drug response predictions and guiding the development of targeted treatment strategies.

Article Details

Volume / Issue Vol. 15, Issue 1
Published December 02, 2025
ISSN 2045-2322
Publisher Nature Portfolio

Journal Info

Scientific Reports

Nature Portfolio

ISSN: 2045-2322 Open Access Life Sciences

Authors (10)

A

Asmaa Mohamed Abd ElGwad

I

Ibrahim Youssef

A

Abdelrahman Khaled

E

Eman K. Habib

N

Nashwa Naguib Omar

H

Heba F. Khader

S

Seham Saleh Alaiyed

M

Mansour Altayyar

B

Basma Emad Aboulhoda

M

Marwa Matboli