Indian Hedgehog expression and association with cetuximab benefit in metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC): Evidence from CALGB (Alliance)/SWOG 80405.

Abstract

198 Background: The Hedgehog (Hh) signaling pathway regulates tissue patterning, growth and differentiation, including within gastrointestinal tract. Mammalian homologs include Sonic (SHH), Indian (IHH) and Desert (DHH) Hedgehog, which signal through PTCH and SMO and the GLI transcription factors. In the digestive tract, both SHH and IHH are expressed, but the functional role of Hh signaling in mCRC remains incompletely defined. Methods: We analyzed 433 mCRC patients treated with either bevacizumab (bev = 226) or cetuximab (cet = 207) plus first line chemotherapy in CALGB/SWOG 80405 (NCT00265850). RNA expression (Illumina HiSeq 2500) of 9 Hh pathway genes (SHH, IHH, DHH, PTCH1, PTCH2, SMO, GLI1, GLI2, GLI3) was evaluated. Median overall survival (mOS) and progression free survival (mPFS) in months (mo) were compared across expression tertiles (low [L], medium [M], high [H]). Likelihood ratio tests, hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals were computed from multivariable Cox proportional hazards models, adjusting for age, sex, ethnicity, ECOG PS, tumor location, number of metastatic sites, KRAS , microsatellites instability status and treatment. Prognostic effects were modeled as marginal terms; predictive effects were modeled as multiplicative interactions. Results: Overall, IHH and GLI2 demonstrated prognostic value for OS after adjusting for multiple testing (Benjamini-Hochberg False Discovery Rate (FDR) < 0.05). High IHH expression (H group, n = 143) correlated with improved mOS (H: 36.0 mo vs M: 32.8 mo vs L: 23.5 mo; p= 0.031), whereas low GLI2 expression (L group, n = 145) was associated with longer mOS (H: 25.6 mo vs M: 33.9 mo vs L: 33.7 mo; p= 0.0016). Moreover, IHH showed predictive value for cet benefit in both OS (mOS H: 38.1 mo vs M: 34.0 mo vs L: 18.4 mo; p= 0.0032) and PFS (mPFS H: 12.6 mo vs M: 12.9 mo vs L: 8.8 mo; p= 0.0025) with significant treatment interaction for OS and PFS (p= 0.0046 and p= 0.0049, respectively; FDR< 0.05). No significant associations were found in bev treated pts. No other Hh genes showed significant prognostic or predictive effects after FDR correction. Conclusions: These results highlight a dual role of Hh pathway in mCRC. Consistent with prior preclinical evidence, reduced IHH expression appears to mark poor prognosis, likely reflecting the loss of IHH-mediated restraint on Wnt signaling, which drives proliferation and dedifferentiation. Conversely, low GLI2, a downstream transcription factor, was linked with favorable outcomes, underscoring context-specific effects of Hh signaling. The strong predictive association of IHH with cet efficacy supports its potential as a biomarker in RAS wild type mCRC. These results suggest that Hh pathway modulation, particularly IHH signaling, may influence disease biology and treatment response. Validation in independent cohorts and mechanistic studies is warranted to clarify implications.