Improving national-scale breeding bird surveys with integrated distance sampling

Abstract

Abstract Bird population estimation over broad spatial and temporal scales is a key objective in ornithology. To date, bird ecologists mainly relied on standard point counts where the number of detected individuals is interpreted as either the true abundance or proportionally related to it. However, providing accurate estimates of species abundance requires modelling the observation process with temporally replicated data, which is not always possible with the increasing use of ever-bigger datasets from citizen science programs. Data integration methods allow combining temporally replicated sampling at coarser spatial grains with data collected over larger spatial extents. Here, we developed an Integrated distance sampling (IDS) to combine national structured and semi-structured citizen-based bird surveys in France to estimate species abundances using observation distances and accounting for availability, i.e. the probability of individuals being detectable during a given sampling visit. While our simulation study showed an overall increase in the accuracy of estimated parameters for both ecological and observation processes, without significant biases, our case study suggests that such model improvements will depend on specific sampling scenarios. Integrated models represent a promising tool for ecological science, permitting the joint use of large unstructured datasets with scale-restricted structured surveys.