Hottest year in recorded history compounds global biodiversity risks

C Cory Merow (Eversource Energy Center and Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of Connecticut) B Brian S. Maitner (Eversource Energy Center, University of Connecticut) A Andreas Schwarz Meyer (Climate Risk Lab, African Climate and Development Initiative, University of Cape Town) A Alex L. Pigot (Centre for Biodiversity and Environment Research, Department of Genetics, Evolution and Environment, University College London) J Josep M. Serra-Diaz M Mark C. Urban (Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology and Center of Biological Risk, University of Connecticut)

Abstract

As climate change accelerates, effectively monitoring and managing the growing impacts on biodiversity is an urgent priority. Here, we identify the exposure of species to unprecedented heat to evaluate the potential impact of 2024—the hottest year on record—across >33,000 vertebrate species worldwide. One in six (5,368) species were exposed to unprecedented temperatures across >25% of their range—68% more species than in 2023. Most (81%) species exposed in 2023 were also exposed in 2024, potentially compounding risks. For the first time, widespread species were exposed to extreme temperatures across >10% of their ranges. We propose using these exposure estimates to inform monitoring and mitigation efforts to avoid the worst impacts of climate change.

Article Details

Volume / Issue Vol. 122, Issue 35
Published September 02, 2025
ISSN 0027-8424
Publisher National Academy of Sciences

Authors (6)

C

Cory Merow

Eversource Energy Center and Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of Connecticut

B

Brian S. Maitner

Eversource Energy Center, University of Connecticut

A

Andreas Schwarz Meyer

Climate Risk Lab, African Climate and Development Initiative, University of Cape Town

A

Alex L. Pigot

Centre for Biodiversity and Environment Research, Department of Genetics, Evolution and Environment, University College London

J

Josep M. Serra-Diaz

M

Mark C. Urban

Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology and Center of Biological Risk, University of Connecticut