Geographic and rural–urban patterns in pediatric and AYA malignant brain tumor mortality in the United States: A CDC WONDER analysis.

Abstract

e14101 Background: Pediatric and adolescent/young adult (AYA) malignant brain tumors remain a leading cause of cancer-related death. Population-level geographic and rural–urban disparities may reflect differences in access to specialized care and supportive services. Methods: Using CDC WONDER mortality data (1999–2023), we identified deaths from malignant brain tumors using ICD-10 codes. Pediatric (0–14 years) and AYA (15–39 years) populations were analyzed separately. Age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMR) per 100,000 were calculated by state, region, and urban–rural classification. Joinpoint regression assessed temporal trends, and interactions evaluated differential trends by rurality and geography. Results: A total of 14,532 deaths were analyzed. National AAMR declined modestly in pediatric patients (AAPC −1.1%, p < 0.01) but remained relatively stable in AYA patients (AAPC −0.3%, p = 0.12). Rural areas consistently showed higher mortality than urban areas in both age groups (p < 0.01). Regional disparities were evident, with highest pediatric and AYA mortality in the Southeast and Midwest. Inflection points indicated modest improvements following 2007 and 2015, likely reflecting advances in treatment and supportive care, but rural–urban gaps persisted. Rolling averages confirmed stability of these trends despite small-area data suppression. Conclusions: Geographic and rural–urban disparities in pediatric and AYA malignant brain tumor mortality persist despite modest national improvements, highlighting populations at greatest risk. Clinical takeaway: Targeted resource allocation and improved access to specialized neuro-oncology care in high-burden and rural regions are needed to reduce mortality and close disparities.