Energy expenditure and obesity across the economic spectrum

A Amanda McGrosky (Department of Biology, Elon University) A Amy Luke (Department of Public Health Sciences, Parkinson School of Health Sciences and Public Health, Loyola University) L Leonore Arab (David Geffen School of Medicine, University of California) K Kweku Bedu-Addo (Department of Physiology, Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology) A Alberto G. Bonomi (Phillips Research) P Pascal Bovet S Soren Brage (Medical Research Council Epidemiology Unit, University of Cambridge) M Maciej S. Buchowski (Division of Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Nutrition, Department of Medicine, Vanderbilt University) N Nancy Butte (Department of Pediatrics, Baylor College of Medicine) S Stefan G. Camps (Clinical Nutrition Research Center, Singapore Institute for Clinical Sciences, Agency for Science, Technology, and Research and National University Health System) R Regina Casper (Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, Stanford University) D Daniel K. Cummings (Economic Science Institute, Argyros School of Business and Economics, Chapman University) S Sai Krupa Das (Jean Mayer US Department of Agriculture Human Nutrition Research Center on Aging, Tufts University) S Sanjoy Deb (Cambridge Centre for Sport and Exercise Sciences, Anglia Ruskin University) L Lara R. Dugas (Department of Public Health Sciences, Parkinson School of Health Sciences and Public Health, Loyola University) U Ulf Ekelund T Terrence Forrester (Solutions for Developing Countries, University of the West Indies, Mona) B Barry W. Fudge (University of Glasgow) M Melanie Gillingham (Department of Molecular and Medical Genetics, Oregon Health and Science University) A Annelies H. Goris (OnePlanet Research Center) M Michael Gurven (Department of Anthropology, University of California) C Catherine Hambly (Institute of Biological and Environmental Sciences, University of Aberdeen) A Annemiek Joosen (Nutrition and Translational Research in Metabolism, Maastricht University Medical Centre) P Peter T. Katzmarzyk K Kitty P. Kempen (Nutrition and Translational Research in Metabolism, Maastricht University Medical Centre) W William E. Kraus W Wantanee Kriengsinyos (Institute of Nutrition, Mahidol University) R Rebecca Kuriyan (Division of Nutrition, St. John’s Research Institute) R Robert F. Kushner (Department of Medicine and Medical Education, Feinberg School of Medicine, Northwestern University) E Estelle V. Lambert (Health through Physical Activity, Lifestyle and Sport Research Centre, Division of Exercise Science and Sports Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Cape Town) C Christel L. Larsson (Department of Food and Nutrition and Sport Science, University of Gothenburg) W William R. Leonard (Department of Medicine and Medical Education, Feinberg School of Medicine, Northwestern University) N Nader Lessan (Imperial College London Diabetes Centre) M Marie Löf (Department of Medicine, Karolinska Institutet 141 83) C Corby K. Martin (Pennington Biomedical Research Center) A Anine C. Medin (Department of Nutrition, Institute of Basic Medical Sciences, University of Oslo) M Marian L. Neuhouser (Division of Public Health Sciences, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Center and School of Public Health, University of Washington) K Kirsi H. Pietilainen (Healthy Weight Hub, Helsinki University Central Hospital) G Guy Plasqui (Department of Nutrition and Movement Sciences, Maastricht University) R Ross L. Prentice (Division of Public Health Sciences, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Center and School of Public Health, University of Washington) S Susan B. Racette (College of Health Solutions, Arizona State University) D David A. Raichlen (Human and Evolutionary Biology Section, Department of Biological Sciences, University of Southern California) E Eric Ravussin (Pennington Biomedical Research Center) L Leanne Redman (Pennington Biomedical Research Center) R Rebecca M. Reynolds (Centre for Cardiovascular Science, Queen’s Medical Research Institute, University of Edinburgh) E Eric B. Rimm (Department of Epidemiology, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University) S Susan Roberts (Geisel School of Medicine, Dartmouth College) A Asher Y. Rosinger (Department of Biobehavioral Health, Pennsylvania State University) M Mary H. Samuels (Division of Endocrinology, Diabetes and Clinical Nutrition, Oregon Health and Science University) S Srishti Sinha (Division of Nutrition, St. John’s Research Institute) J J. Josh Snodgrass (Department of Anthropology, University of Oregon) E Eric Stice (Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, Stanford University) S Samuel S. Urlacher (Department of Anthropology, Baylor University) J Jeanine A. Verbunt (Nutrition and Translational Research in Metabolism, Maastricht University Medical Centre) B Bruce Wolfe (Oregon Health and Science University) B Brian Wood (Department of Anthropology, University of California) X Xueying Zhang (Department of Medicinal Chemistry) A Alexia J. Murphy-Alford (Nutritional and Health-Related Environmental Studies Section, Division of Human Health, International Atomic Energy Agency) C Cornelia J. Loechl (Nutritional and Health-Related Environmental Studies Section, Division of Human Health, International Atomic Energy Agency) J Jennifer Rood (Pennington Biomedical Research Center) H Hiroyuki Sagayama (Faculty of Health and Sport Sciences, University of Tsukuba) D Dale A. Schoeller (Biotech Center and Nutritional Sciences, University of Wisconsin) K Klaas R. Westerterp (Nutrition and Translational Research in Metabolism, Maastricht University Medical Centre) W William W. Wong (Department of Pediatrics, Baylor College of Medicine) Y Yosuke Yamada (Department of Sports and Health Sciences, Graduate School of Biomedical Engineering, Tohoku University) J John R. Speakman (Institute of Biological and Environmental Sciences, University of Aberdeen) H Herman Pontzer (Department of Evolutionary Anthropology, Duke University) L Lene F. Andersen L Linda Bandini S Stephan Branth N Niels C. De Bruin R Richard Cooper A Alice E. Dutman C Cara B. Ebbeling M Mikael Fogelholm T Tamara Harris R Rik Heijligenberg H Hans U. Jorgensen D David S. Ludwig E Eric Matsiko M Margaret McCloskey G Gerwin A. Meijer D Daphne L. Pannemans R Renaat M. Philippaerts J Jacob Plange-Rhule E Elisabet M. Rothenberg S Sabine Schulz A Albert Stunkard A Amy Subar M Minna Tanskanen R Ricardo Uauy (Institute of Nutrition and Food Technology, University of Chile) R Rita Van den Berg-Emons L Ludo M. van Etten W Wim G. Van Gemert E Erica J. Velthuis-te Wierik W Wilhelmine W. Verboeket-van de Venne W Walter C. Willett

Abstract

Global economic development has been associated with an increased prevalence of obesity and related health problems. Increased caloric intake and reduced energy expenditure are both cited as development-related contributors to the obesity crisis, but their relative importance remains unresolved. Here, we examine energy expenditure and two measures of obesity (body fat percentage and body mass index, BMI) for 4,213 adults from 34 populations across six continents and a wide range of lifestyles and economies, including hunter-gatherer, pastoralist, farming, and industrialized populations. Economic development was positively associated with greater body mass, BMI, and body fat, but also with greater total, basal, and activity energy expenditure. Body size–adjusted total and basal energy expenditures both decreased approximately 6 to 11% with increasing economic development, but were highly variable among populations and did not correspond closely with lifestyle. Body size–adjusted total energy expenditure was negatively, but weakly, associated with measures of obesity, accounting for roughly one-tenth of the elevated body fat percentage and BMI associated with economic development. In contrast, estimated energy intake was greater in economically developed populations, and in populations with available data (n = 25), the percentage of ultraprocessed food in the diet was associated with body fat percentage, suggesting that dietary intake plays a far greater role than reduced energy expenditure in obesity related to economic development.

Article Details

Volume / Issue Vol. 122, Issue 29
Published July 22, 2025
ISSN 0027-8424
Publisher National Academy of Sciences

Authors (97)

A

Amanda McGrosky

Department of Biology, Elon University

A

Amy Luke

Department of Public Health Sciences, Parkinson School of Health Sciences and Public Health, Loyola University

L

Leonore Arab

David Geffen School of Medicine, University of California

K

Kweku Bedu-Addo

Department of Physiology, Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology

A

Alberto G. Bonomi

Phillips Research

P

Pascal Bovet

S

Soren Brage

Medical Research Council Epidemiology Unit, University of Cambridge

M

Maciej S. Buchowski

Division of Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Nutrition, Department of Medicine, Vanderbilt University

N

Nancy Butte

Department of Pediatrics, Baylor College of Medicine

S

Stefan G. Camps

Clinical Nutrition Research Center, Singapore Institute for Clinical Sciences, Agency for Science, Technology, and Research and National University Health System

R

Regina Casper

Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, Stanford University

D

Daniel K. Cummings

Economic Science Institute, Argyros School of Business and Economics, Chapman University

S

Sai Krupa Das

Jean Mayer US Department of Agriculture Human Nutrition Research Center on Aging, Tufts University

S

Sanjoy Deb

Cambridge Centre for Sport and Exercise Sciences, Anglia Ruskin University

L

Lara R. Dugas

Department of Public Health Sciences, Parkinson School of Health Sciences and Public Health, Loyola University

U

Ulf Ekelund

T

Terrence Forrester

Solutions for Developing Countries, University of the West Indies, Mona

B

Barry W. Fudge

University of Glasgow

M

Melanie Gillingham

Department of Molecular and Medical Genetics, Oregon Health and Science University

A

Annelies H. Goris

OnePlanet Research Center

M

Michael Gurven

Department of Anthropology, University of California

C

Catherine Hambly

Institute of Biological and Environmental Sciences, University of Aberdeen

A

Annemiek Joosen

Nutrition and Translational Research in Metabolism, Maastricht University Medical Centre

P

Peter T. Katzmarzyk

K

Kitty P. Kempen

Nutrition and Translational Research in Metabolism, Maastricht University Medical Centre

W

William E. Kraus

W

Wantanee Kriengsinyos

Institute of Nutrition, Mahidol University

R

Rebecca Kuriyan

Division of Nutrition, St. John’s Research Institute

R

Robert F. Kushner

Department of Medicine and Medical Education, Feinberg School of Medicine, Northwestern University

E

Estelle V. Lambert

Health through Physical Activity, Lifestyle and Sport Research Centre, Division of Exercise Science and Sports Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Cape Town

C

Christel L. Larsson

Department of Food and Nutrition and Sport Science, University of Gothenburg

W

William R. Leonard

Department of Medicine and Medical Education, Feinberg School of Medicine, Northwestern University

N

Nader Lessan

Imperial College London Diabetes Centre

M

Marie Löf

Department of Medicine, Karolinska Institutet 141 83

C

Corby K. Martin

Pennington Biomedical Research Center

A

Anine C. Medin

Department of Nutrition, Institute of Basic Medical Sciences, University of Oslo

M

Marian L. Neuhouser

Division of Public Health Sciences, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Center and School of Public Health, University of Washington

K

Kirsi H. Pietilainen

Healthy Weight Hub, Helsinki University Central Hospital

G

Guy Plasqui

Department of Nutrition and Movement Sciences, Maastricht University

R

Ross L. Prentice

Division of Public Health Sciences, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Center and School of Public Health, University of Washington

S

Susan B. Racette

College of Health Solutions, Arizona State University

D

David A. Raichlen

Human and Evolutionary Biology Section, Department of Biological Sciences, University of Southern California

E

Eric Ravussin

Pennington Biomedical Research Center

L

Leanne Redman

Pennington Biomedical Research Center

R

Rebecca M. Reynolds

Centre for Cardiovascular Science, Queen’s Medical Research Institute, University of Edinburgh

E

Eric B. Rimm

Department of Epidemiology, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University

S

Susan Roberts

Geisel School of Medicine, Dartmouth College

A

Asher Y. Rosinger

Department of Biobehavioral Health, Pennsylvania State University

M

Mary H. Samuels

Division of Endocrinology, Diabetes and Clinical Nutrition, Oregon Health and Science University

S

Srishti Sinha

Division of Nutrition, St. John’s Research Institute

J

J. Josh Snodgrass

Department of Anthropology, University of Oregon

E

Eric Stice

Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, Stanford University

S

Samuel S. Urlacher

Department of Anthropology, Baylor University

J

Jeanine A. Verbunt

Nutrition and Translational Research in Metabolism, Maastricht University Medical Centre

B

Bruce Wolfe

Oregon Health and Science University

B

Brian Wood

Department of Anthropology, University of California

X

Xueying Zhang

Department of Medicinal Chemistry

A

Alexia J. Murphy-Alford

Nutritional and Health-Related Environmental Studies Section, Division of Human Health, International Atomic Energy Agency

C

Cornelia J. Loechl

Nutritional and Health-Related Environmental Studies Section, Division of Human Health, International Atomic Energy Agency

J

Jennifer Rood

Pennington Biomedical Research Center

H

Hiroyuki Sagayama

Faculty of Health and Sport Sciences, University of Tsukuba

D

Dale A. Schoeller

Biotech Center and Nutritional Sciences, University of Wisconsin

K

Klaas R. Westerterp

Nutrition and Translational Research in Metabolism, Maastricht University Medical Centre

W

William W. Wong

Department of Pediatrics, Baylor College of Medicine

Y

Yosuke Yamada

Department of Sports and Health Sciences, Graduate School of Biomedical Engineering, Tohoku University

J

John R. Speakman

Institute of Biological and Environmental Sciences, University of Aberdeen

H

Herman Pontzer

Department of Evolutionary Anthropology, Duke University

L

Lene F. Andersen

L

Linda Bandini

S

Stephan Branth

N

Niels C. De Bruin

R

Richard Cooper

A

Alice E. Dutman

C

Cara B. Ebbeling

M

Mikael Fogelholm

T

Tamara Harris

R

Rik Heijligenberg

H

Hans U. Jorgensen

D

David S. Ludwig

E

Eric Matsiko

M

Margaret McCloskey

G

Gerwin A. Meijer

D

Daphne L. Pannemans

R

Renaat M. Philippaerts

J

Jacob Plange-Rhule

E

Elisabet M. Rothenberg

S

Sabine Schulz

A

Albert Stunkard

A

Amy Subar

M

Minna Tanskanen

R

Ricardo Uauy

Institute of Nutrition and Food Technology, University of Chile

R

Rita Van den Berg-Emons

L

Ludo M. van Etten

W

Wim G. Van Gemert

E

Erica J. Velthuis-te Wierik

W

Wilhelmine W. Verboeket-van de Venne

W

Walter C. Willett