Correlation of ten-year survival with cell-free DNA methylation of melanoma patients with asymptomatic brain metastases treated with nivolumab plus ipilimumab: The multicenter phase III NIBIT-M2 trial.
Abstract
2008 Background: The NIBIT Foundation-sponsored phase III NIBIT-M2 study showed a 41% 7-y OS of melanoma patients (pts) with asymptomatic brain metastases (BM) treated with ipilimumab (I) plus nivolumab (N) (I+N) ( Di Giacomo AM, CCR 2021 and EJC 2024 ). Despite the significant efficacy of I+N therapy in this pts population, no biomarkers predictive of response have been identified yet also due to the accessibility of BM. We here report the 10-y survival and its correlation with cell-free (cf)DNA analyses on serial plasma samples collected from pts enrolled in the NIBIT-M2 study. Methods: The NIBIT-M2 study recruited melanoma pts with active, untreated, asymptomatic BM from 9 Italian Centers, randomized (1:1:1) to receive fotemustine (F) (Arm A), I+F (Arm B), or I+N (Arm C). Primary endpoint was OS. Exploratory analyses were conducted on cfDNA plasma samples collected at baseline and week (W) 12 on therapy. Tumor fraction (TF) was estimated from low pass WGS using IchorCNA. Tumor-specific methylation Score (T-meth Score) was computed as the ratio between the coverage over methylated regions analyzed by cf-methylated DNA immunoprecipitation and high-throughput sequencing (cfMeDIP-seq) and melanoma-specific methylated regions previously identified in the TCGA melanoma cohort. Results: From Jan 2013 to Sept 2018, 80 pts were enrolled: 76 received F (23), I+F (26), or I+N (27). As of December 1, 2025, with a median follow-up of 125 months (mo), median OS was 8.5 (95% CI: 4.8-12.2), 8.2 (95% CI: 2.1-14.3) and 29.2 (95% CI: 0-73.5) mo for Arm A, B, and C, respectively. The 10-y OS rate was 13.0% (95% CI: 0-26.7) in Arm A, 7.7% (95% CI: 0-17.9) in Arm B, and 31.2% (95% CI: 13.0-49.4) in Arm C. The 10-y melanoma specific survival was 13.0% (95% CI: 0-26.7), 7.7% (95% CI: 0-17.9), and 35.1% (95% CI: 16.3-53.9) in Arm A, B and C, respectively. Patients were stratified at baseline according to the median values of TF (n=57; median 0.022) and of T-meth Score (n=53; median 0.096): a significantly higher median OS was observed in pts with TF (22.3 vs 8.2 mo; p=0.033) and T-meth Score (26.3 vs 7.9 mo; p=0.002) below their median values. Of note, low TF and T-meth Score were enriched at baseline in pts from Arm C. Additionally, a decrease in TF (n=29) and T-meth Score (n=24) was observed at W12 in pts with an OS above the median (26.3 mo for TF and 24.0 mo for T-meth Score). Conclusions: The 10-y results of the NIBIT-M2 study, with the longest follow-up available to date in melanoma pts with asymptomatic BM treated with I+N, continue to show persistent long-term therapeutic efficacy of the combination. Plasma-derived TF and T-meth Score may predict long-term survival of melanoma pts with asymptomatic BM treated with I+N. Clinical trial information: NCT02460068 .
Article Details
Journal Info
Journal of Clinical Oncology
Lippincott Williams & Wilkins
Authors (20)
Anna Maria Di Giacomo
University of Siena, Center for Immuno-Oncology, University Hospital of Siena, NIBIT Foundation Onlus, Siena, Italy
Vanna Chiarion Sileni
Istituto Oncologico veneto IOV-IRCCS, Padova, Italy
Michele Del Vecchio
Fondazione IRCCS Istituto Nazionale dei Tumori, Milano, Italy
Pier Francesco Ferrucci
Gruppo Multimedica, Milano, Italy
Michele Guida
Melanoma and Rare Tumors Unit, IRCCS Istituto Tumori Giovanni Paolo II, Bari, Italy
Pietro Quaglino
14University of Turin, Department of Medical Sciences, Dermatologic Clinic, Turin, Italy
Massimo Guidoboni
From the Sandra and Edward Meyer Cancer Center (J.D.W.) and the Department of Medicine (J.D.W., M.A.P.), Weill Cornell Medicine, and Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center (M.A.P.) — both in New York; Istituto Oncologico Veneto, IRCCS, Padua (V.C.-S.), European Institute of Oncology, IRCCS, Milan (P.Q.), Istituto Scientifico Romagnolo per lo Studio e la Cura dei Tumori, IRCCS, Meldola (M.G.), University of Siena and the Center for Immuno-Oncology, University Hospital of Siena, Siena (M.M.), and Istituto Nazionale Tumori IRCCS Fondazione Pascale, Naples (P.A.A.) — all in Italy; Maria Sklodowska-Curie National Institute of Oncology, Warsaw, Poland (P.R.); Texas Oncology–Baylor Charles A. Sammons Cancer Center, Dallas (C.L.C.); University Hospital Essen, the German Cancer Consortium, the National Center for Tumor Diseases–West, the Research Alliance Ruhr, Research Center One Health, and University Duisburg-Essen — all in Essen, Germany (D.S.); the College of Medicine, Swansea University, Swansea (J.W.), Brist...
Paolo Marchetti
IDI-IRCCS, Roma, Italy
Vincenzo D'Alonzo
University of Siena, Siena, Italy
Maria Fortunata Lofiego
Azienda Ospedaliero Universitaria Senese, Siena, Italy
Monica Valente
Center for Immuno-Oncology, University Hospital of Siena, Siena, Italy
Emma Bello
University of Siena, Siena, Italy
Maresa Altomonte
Center for Immuno-Oncology, University Hospital of Siena, Siena, Italy
Mario Mandala
University of Perugia, Santa Maria Misericordia Hospital, Perugia, Italy
Diana Giannarelli
Piera Grisolia
University of Miami, Miami, FL
Antonio De Falco
Michele Ceccarelli
Sylvester Comprehensive Cancer Center and Department of Public Health Sciences, Miller School of Medicine, University of Miami, Miami, FL
Alessia Covre
University of Siena, Siena, Italy
Michele Maio
From the Sandra and Edward Meyer Cancer Center (J.D.W.) and the Department of Medicine (J.D.W., M.A.P.), Weill Cornell Medicine, and Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center (M.A.P.) — both in New York; Istituto Oncologico Veneto, IRCCS, Padua (V.C.-S.), European Institute of Oncology, IRCCS, Milan (P.Q.), Istituto Scientifico Romagnolo per lo Studio e la Cura dei Tumori, IRCCS, Meldola (M.G.), University of Siena and the Center for Immuno-Oncology, University Hospital of Siena, Siena (M.M.), and Istituto Nazionale Tumori IRCCS Fondazione Pascale, Naples (P.A.A.) — all in Italy; Maria Sklodowska-Curie National Institute of Oncology, Warsaw, Poland (P.R.); Texas Oncology–Baylor Charles A. Sammons Cancer Center, Dallas (C.L.C.); University Hospital Essen, the German Cancer Consortium, the National Center for Tumor Diseases–West, the Research Alliance Ruhr, Research Center One Health, and University Duisburg-Essen — all in Essen, Germany (D.S.); the College of Medicine, Swansea University, Swansea (J.W.), Brist...