Clinical and Psychological Outcomes After Monoclonal Gammopathy Screening: A Population-Based Screening Study and Subsequent Randomized Trial of Follow-Up

S Sæmundur Rögnvaldsson S Sigrún Thorsteinsdóttir E Elias Eythorsson (1Faculty of Medicine, University of Iceland, Reykjavik, Iceland) I Inga Dröfn Wessman (Faculty of Psychology, University of Iceland, Reykjavik, Iceland) G Gudrun Asta Sigurdardottir (Faculty of Medicine, University of Iceland, Reykjavik, Iceland) B Brynjar Vidarsson (Landspitali University Hospital, Reykjavik, Iceland) P Pall T. Onundarson (Faculty of Medicine, University of Iceland, Reykjavik, Iceland) B Bjarni Agnarsson (Faculty of Medicine, University of Iceland, Reykjavik, Iceland) M Margret Sigurdardottir (Landspitali University Hospital, Reykjavik, Iceland) Ísleifur Ólafsson (7Department of Clinical Biochemistry and Hematology, Landspítali University Hospital, Reykjavik, Iceland) I Ingunn Thorsteinsdottir (Landspitali University Hospital, Reykjavik, Iceland) A Andri Steinthor Bjornsson (Faculty of Psychology, University of Iceland, Reykjavik, Iceland) J Jon Thorir Oskarsson (Faculty of Medicine, University of Iceland, Reykjavik, Iceland) A Andri Ólafsson G Gauti Gislason (Faculty of Medicine, University of Iceland, Reykjavik, Iceland) I Ingigerdur Sverrisdottir (Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Gothenburg, Sweden) T Thorir E. Long (Faculty of Medicine, University of Iceland, Reykjavik, Iceland) E Elfa Rún Guðmundsdóttir (Faculty of Medicine, University of Iceland, Reykjavik, Iceland) A Asdis Rosa Thordardottir (Faculty of Medicine, University of Iceland, Reykjavik, Iceland) Ásbjörn Jónsson (11Department of Radiology, Akureyri Hospital, Akureyri, Iceland) R Runolfur Palsson (1Faculty of Medicine, University of Iceland, Reykjavik, Iceland) O Olafur S. Indridason (Landspitali University Hospital, Reykjavik, Iceland) M Malin Hultcrantz (1Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, Myeloma Service, Department of Medicine, New York, United States) B Brian G.M. Durie (Samuel Oschin Comprehensive Cancer Institute, Cedars-Sinai Outpatient Cancer Center, Los Angeles, CA) S Stephen J. Harding (Binding Site Group Ltd Part of Thermo Fisher Scientific, Birmingham, United Kingdom) T Thor Aspelund O Ola Landgren T Thorvardur Jon Love (1Faculty of Medicine, University of Iceland, Reykjavik, Iceland) S Sigurdur Y. Kristinsson (Faculty of Medicine, University of Iceland, Reykjavik, Iceland)

Abstract

Multiple myeloma (MM) and related malignancies develop from an asymptomatic precursor condition, monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance (MGUS), detectable via blood testing. The benefits and harms of population-based MGUS screening remain uncertain. We conducted a nationwide screening study for monoclonal gammopathies and a randomized trial of follow-up strategies in Iceland (Iceland Screens, Treats, or Prevents Multiple Myeloma; ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT03327597 ). In total, 75,422 (53% of those invited) were screened and those with MGUS (n = 3,541) were randomly assigned to no notification (arm 1), guideline-based follow-up (arm 2), or intensified follow-up (arm 3). Progression, symptom burden, and psychological well-being were compared between the control arm (arm 1) and intervention arms (arms 2 and 3). After a median follow-up of 4.5 years, screening led to a 27-fold increase in the detection of smoldering MM (8.6% v 0.3%; hazard ratio, 27.46 [95% CI, 10.21 to 73.86]; P < .001), but active malignancy rates did not differ. Active MM and related malignancy were diagnosed 1 year earlier in the intervention arms with fewer symptomatic presentations and hospitalizations at diagnosis. MGUS notification was not associated with adverse psychological outcomes. These findings demonstrate that population-based screening facilitates earlier detection of MM and expands access to early intervention without detectable psychological harm. Longer follow-up is required to determine the effects on survival and cost-effectiveness.

Article Details

Volume / Issue Vol. 1, Issue 1
Published July 14, 2026
ISSN 0732-183X
Publisher Lippincott Williams & Wilkins

Journal Info

Journal of Clinical Oncology

Lippincott Williams & Wilkins

ISSN: 0732-183X Health Sciences

Authors (29)

S

Sæmundur Rögnvaldsson

S

Sigrún Thorsteinsdóttir

E

Elias Eythorsson

1Faculty of Medicine, University of Iceland, Reykjavik, Iceland

I

Inga Dröfn Wessman

Faculty of Psychology, University of Iceland, Reykjavik, Iceland

G

Gudrun Asta Sigurdardottir

Faculty of Medicine, University of Iceland, Reykjavik, Iceland

B

Brynjar Vidarsson

Landspitali University Hospital, Reykjavik, Iceland

P

Pall T. Onundarson

Faculty of Medicine, University of Iceland, Reykjavik, Iceland

B

Bjarni Agnarsson

Faculty of Medicine, University of Iceland, Reykjavik, Iceland

M

Margret Sigurdardottir

Landspitali University Hospital, Reykjavik, Iceland

Ísleifur Ólafsson

7Department of Clinical Biochemistry and Hematology, Landspítali University Hospital, Reykjavik, Iceland

I

Ingunn Thorsteinsdottir

Landspitali University Hospital, Reykjavik, Iceland

A

Andri Steinthor Bjornsson

Faculty of Psychology, University of Iceland, Reykjavik, Iceland

J

Jon Thorir Oskarsson

Faculty of Medicine, University of Iceland, Reykjavik, Iceland

A

Andri Ólafsson

G

Gauti Gislason

Faculty of Medicine, University of Iceland, Reykjavik, Iceland

I

Ingigerdur Sverrisdottir

Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Gothenburg, Sweden

T

Thorir E. Long

Faculty of Medicine, University of Iceland, Reykjavik, Iceland

E

Elfa Rún Guðmundsdóttir

Faculty of Medicine, University of Iceland, Reykjavik, Iceland

A

Asdis Rosa Thordardottir

Faculty of Medicine, University of Iceland, Reykjavik, Iceland

Ásbjörn Jónsson

11Department of Radiology, Akureyri Hospital, Akureyri, Iceland

R

Runolfur Palsson

1Faculty of Medicine, University of Iceland, Reykjavik, Iceland

O

Olafur S. Indridason

Landspitali University Hospital, Reykjavik, Iceland

M

Malin Hultcrantz

1Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, Myeloma Service, Department of Medicine, New York, United States

B

Brian G.M. Durie

Samuel Oschin Comprehensive Cancer Institute, Cedars-Sinai Outpatient Cancer Center, Los Angeles, CA

S

Stephen J. Harding

Binding Site Group Ltd Part of Thermo Fisher Scientific, Birmingham, United Kingdom

T

Thor Aspelund

O

Ola Landgren

T

Thorvardur Jon Love

1Faculty of Medicine, University of Iceland, Reykjavik, Iceland

S

Sigurdur Y. Kristinsson

Faculty of Medicine, University of Iceland, Reykjavik, Iceland