Nature Communications

Characterising the asynchronous resurgence of common respiratory viruses following the COVID-19 pandemic

C Chenkai Zhao T Tiantian Zhang L Ling Guo S Shiqi Sun Y Yumeng Miao C Chee Fu Yung J Jane Tomlinson K Kirill Stolyarov Z Zakhar Shchomak Y Yong Poovorawan D David James Nokes C Carmen Muñoz-Almagro M Michal Mandelboim J James W. Keck J Joanne Marie Langley T Terho Heikkinen J Jikui Deng P Philippe Colson G Giorgi Chakhunashvili M Mauricio T. Caballero L Louis Bont D Daniel R. Feikin H Harish Nair X Xin Wang Y You Li (MIIT Key Laboratory of Semiconductor Microstructure and Quantum Sensing, School of Physics) Y Yara-Natalie Abo A Andrew Daley G Gregory Waller D Daria M. Danilenko A Andrey B. Komissarov T Teresa Bandeira M Maria Rosário Barreto N Nongruthai Suntronwong S Siripat Pasittungkul E Esther Nyadzua Katama A Alba Arranz C Cristian Launes Q Quique Bassat I Ital Nemet J Jennifer D. Dobson J Jiajia Bi G Guangcheng Deng C Céline Boschi B Bernard La Scola D Didier Raoult I Irakli Karseladze K Khatuna Zakhashvili O Olgha Tarkhan-Mouravi J Julia Dvorkin M Marie N. Billard

Abstract

Abstract The COVID-19 pandemic and relevant non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) interrupted the circulation of common respiratory viruses. These viruses demonstrated an unprecedented asynchronous resurgence as NPIs were relaxed. We compiled a global dataset from a systematic review, online surveillance reports and unpublished data from Respiratory Virus Global Epidemiology Network, encompassing 92 sites. We compared the resurgence timings of respiratory viruses within each site and synthesised differences in timings across sites, using a generalised linear mixed-effects model. We revealed a distinct sequential timing in the first post-pandemic resurgence: rhinovirus resurged the earliest, followed by seasonal coronavirus, parainfluenza virus, respiratory syncytial virus, adenovirus, metapneumovirus and influenza A virus, with influenza B virus exhibiting the latest resurgence. Similar sequential timing was observed in the second resurgence except influenza A virus caught up with metapneumovirus. The consistent asynchrony across geographical regions suggests that virus-specific characteristics, rather than location-specific factors, determining the relative timing of resurgence.

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Article Details

Volume / Issue Vol. 16, Issue 1
Published February 13, 2025
ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher Nature Portfolio

Journal Info

Nature Communications

Nature Portfolio
ISSN: 2041-1723 Open Access Life Sciences

Authors (50)

C

Chenkai Zhao

T

Tiantian Zhang

L

Ling Guo

S

Shiqi Sun

Y

Yumeng Miao

C

Chee Fu Yung

J

Jane Tomlinson

K

Kirill Stolyarov

Z

Zakhar Shchomak

Y

Yong Poovorawan

D

David James Nokes

C

Carmen Muñoz-Almagro

M

Michal Mandelboim

J

James W. Keck

J

Joanne Marie Langley

T

Terho Heikkinen

J

Jikui Deng

P

Philippe Colson

G

Giorgi Chakhunashvili

M

Mauricio T. Caballero

L

Louis Bont

D

Daniel R. Feikin

H

Harish Nair

X

Xin Wang

Y

You Li

MIIT Key Laboratory of Semiconductor Microstructure and Quantum Sensing, School of Physics

Y

Yara-Natalie Abo

A

Andrew Daley

G

Gregory Waller

D

Daria M. Danilenko

A

Andrey B. Komissarov

T

Teresa Bandeira

M

Maria Rosário Barreto

N

Nongruthai Suntronwong

S

Siripat Pasittungkul

E

Esther Nyadzua Katama

A

Alba Arranz

C

Cristian Launes

Q

Quique Bassat

I

Ital Nemet

J

Jennifer D. Dobson

J

Jiajia Bi

G

Guangcheng Deng

C

Céline Boschi

B

Bernard La Scola

D

Didier Raoult

I

Irakli Karseladze

K

Khatuna Zakhashvili

O

Olgha Tarkhan-Mouravi

J

Julia Dvorkin

M

Marie N. Billard

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