Challenges to sustainable large-scale shale gas development in China

J Jian Wu J Jingqiang Tan (State Key Laboratory for Critical Mineral Research and Exploration, School of Geosciences and Info-physics, Central South University) J Jinqi Xu (State Key Laboratory for Critical Mineral Research and Exploration, School of Geosciences and Info-physics, Central South University) L Lei Li G Gregory C. Beroza (Department of Geophysics, Stanford University) K Kevin G. Mumford (Department of Civil Engineering, Queen’s University) C Cole Van De Ven (Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Carleton University) B Baixi Chen (Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Pittsburgh) D Derek Elsworth (Department of Energy and Mineral Engineering, Pennsylvania State University)

Abstract

China’s shale gas production has grown annually by 21% since 2017 with long-term national energy strategy calling for continued expansion. This large-scale shale gas development is challenged by constraints on water supply. It requires over 6,000 new wells to be drilled within the Yangtze River Basin in South China—one of China’s most populated regions with sensitive ecological and geological conditions, posing significant environmental threats to the hydrosphere, atmosphere, and biosphere. Hydraulic fracturing-induced seismicity also adds to the existing earthquake risk for the Sichuan/Chongqing region. These potential negative impacts challenge both China’s and the United Nations’ sustainable development goals. We explore China’s current shale gas operations in the Yangtze River Basin and their interaction with the environment from these multiple perspectives. We then suggest future improvements to practice that will promote sustainable development to jointly satisfy China’s burgeoning energy needs. We conclude that China’s shale gas industry would benefit from an innovation ecosystem that involves companies and research institutions, and that there is an urgent need to implement environmental regulations for shale gas extraction.

Article Details

Volume / Issue Vol. 122, Issue 18
Published May 06, 2025
ISSN 0027-8424
Publisher National Academy of Sciences

Authors (9)

J

Jian Wu

J

Jingqiang Tan

State Key Laboratory for Critical Mineral Research and Exploration, School of Geosciences and Info-physics, Central South University

J

Jinqi Xu

State Key Laboratory for Critical Mineral Research and Exploration, School of Geosciences and Info-physics, Central South University

L

Lei Li

G

Gregory C. Beroza

Department of Geophysics, Stanford University

K

Kevin G. Mumford

Department of Civil Engineering, Queen’s University

C

Cole Van De Ven

Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Carleton University

B

Baixi Chen

Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Pittsburgh

D

Derek Elsworth

Department of Energy and Mineral Engineering, Pennsylvania State University