Advancing AI negotiations: A large-scale autonomous negotiation competition

M Michelle Vaccaro (Institute for Data, Systems, and Society, Massachusetts Institute of Technology) M Michael Caosun (Sloan School of Management, Information Technology Group, Massachusetts Institute of Technology) H Harang Ju (Carey Business School, Johns Hopkins University) S Sinan Aral (Sloan School of Management, Information Technology and Marketing Groups, Massachusetts Institute of Technology) J Jared R. Curhan (Sloan School of Management, Work and Organization Studies Group, Massachusetts Institute of Technology)

Abstract

We conducted an international AI negotiation competition in which participants designed and refined prompts for AI negotiation agents. We then facilitated over 180,000 negotiations between these agents across multiple scenarios with diverse characteristics and objectives. Our findings revealed that principles from human negotiation theory remain crucial even in AI–AI contexts. Surprisingly, warmth—a traditionally human relationship-building trait—was consistently associated with superior outcomes across all key performance metrics. Dominant agents, meanwhile, were especially effective at claiming value. Our analysis also revealed unique dynamics in AI–AI negotiations not fully explained by negotiation theory, including AI-specific technical strategies like chain-of-thought reasoning and prompt injection. When we applied natural language processing methods to the full transcripts of all negotiations, we found positivity, gratitude, and question-asking (associated with warmth) were strongly associated with reaching deals as well as objective and subjective value, whereas conversation lengths (associated with dominance) were strongly associated with impasses. The results suggest the need to establish a new theory of AI negotiation, which integrates classic negotiation theory with AI-specific negotiation theories to better understand autonomous negotiations and optimize agent performance.

Article Details

Volume / Issue Vol. 123, Issue 23
Published June 09, 2026
ISSN 0027-8424
Publisher National Academy of Sciences

Authors (5)

M

Michelle Vaccaro

Institute for Data, Systems, and Society, Massachusetts Institute of Technology

M

Michael Caosun

Sloan School of Management, Information Technology Group, Massachusetts Institute of Technology

H

Harang Ju

Carey Business School, Johns Hopkins University

S

Sinan Aral

Sloan School of Management, Information Technology and Marketing Groups, Massachusetts Institute of Technology

J

Jared R. Curhan

Sloan School of Management, Work and Organization Studies Group, Massachusetts Institute of Technology