Advancing adoptability and sustainability of digital prediction tools for climate-sensitive infectious disease prevention and control

D Dung Phung F Felipe J. Colón-González D Daniel M. Weinberger V Vinh Bui S Son Nghiem C Cordia Chu H Hai Phung N Nam Sinh Vu Q Quang-Van Doan M Masahiro Hashizume C Colleen L. Lau S Simon Reid L Lan Trong Phan D Duong Nhu Tran C Cong Tuan Pham K Kien Quoc Do R Robert Dubrow

Abstract

Abstract Few forecasting models have been translated into digital prediction tools for prevention and control of climate-sensitive infectious diseases. We propose a 3-U (useful, usable, and used) research framework for advancing the adoptability and sustainability of these tools. We make recommendations for 1) developing a tool with a high level of accuracy and sufficient lead time to permit effective proactive interventions (useful); 2) conducting a needs assessment to ensure that a tool meets the needs of end-users (usable); and 3) demonstrating the efficacy and cost-effectiveness of a tool to secure its adoption into routine surveillance and response systems (used).

Article Details

Volume / Issue Vol. 16, Issue 1
Published February 14, 2025
ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher Nature Portfolio

Journal Info

Nature Communications

Nature Portfolio

ISSN: 2041-1723 Open Access Life Sciences

Authors (17)

D

Dung Phung

F

Felipe J. Colón-González

D

Daniel M. Weinberger

V

Vinh Bui

S

Son Nghiem

C

Cordia Chu

H

Hai Phung

N

Nam Sinh Vu

Q

Quang-Van Doan

M

Masahiro Hashizume

C

Colleen L. Lau

S

Simon Reid

L

Lan Trong Phan

D

Duong Nhu Tran

C

Cong Tuan Pham

K

Kien Quoc Do

R

Robert Dubrow