Adoption of Electricity in Rural Rwanda 10 Years after Connection

L Lise Masselus J Jörg Ankel-Peters G Gabriel Gonzalez Sutil V Vijay Modi J Joel Mugyenyi A Anicet Munyehirwe N Nathan Williams M Maximiliane Sievert

Abstract

Abstract Power grid extension into hitherto unconnected areas is a key policy goal in Sub-Saharan Africa. Yet, connection and usage rates remain low in rural grid-covered areas, at least in the short and medium run. This paper provides a long-term follow-up of a large grid extension program in rural Rwanda, analyzing electricity adoption over time in a panel of 41 communities electrified up to ten years ago. Using both survey and administrative data, we find that nearly half of the households in grid-covered communities remain unconnected. Even among those directly under the distribution grid, electrification rates barely exceed 80%. Electricity consumption and appliance use are low and have not increased over time. These findings suggest that, from an economic development or cost-benefit standpoint, rural grid investments are hard to justify. Instead, rights-based arguments centered on equity and fairness may offer a more compelling – albeit more controversial – justification for such investments.

Article Details

Volume / Issue Vol. 16, Issue 1
Published December 07, 2025
ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher Nature Portfolio

Journal Info

Nature Communications

Nature Portfolio

ISSN: 2041-1723 Open Access Life Sciences

Authors (8)

L

Lise Masselus

J

Jörg Ankel-Peters

G

Gabriel Gonzalez Sutil

V

Vijay Modi

J

Joel Mugyenyi

A

Anicet Munyehirwe

N

Nathan Williams

M

Maximiliane Sievert