Accurate time-series forecasting of floating platform motion via a reinforced fusion CNN–BiLSTM–attention model

Abstract

Accurate motion prediction of floating platforms is critical for ensuring operational safety in offshore engineering applications or marine equipment testing. However, the strong nonlinearity and non-stationary characteristics induced by complex marine environments pose significant challenges to conventional prediction models. This study proposes a reinforced hybrid neural network (CNN-BiLSTM-Attention) integrated with advanced signal processing techniques to address these challenges. The methodology combines complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise (CEEMDAN) for multi-scale signal analysis, coupled with temporal feature engineering through sliding window optimization. And the architecture innovatively integrates convolutional neural networks for spatial pattern extraction, bidirectional long short-term memory networks for temporal dependency modeling, and attention mechanisms for dynamic feature weighting. By analyzing datasets generated via hydrodynamic simulations, this study elucidates the model’s physical interpretability and establishes a closed-loop validation framework between data-driven methods and physics-based models. Finally, the predictive performance of the model is evaluated using motion datasets of the proportional platform in the water pool test under different working conditions, demonstrating its broad applicability and transferability by assessed using a dual-stage EWMA control line. Overall, the proposed CNN-BiLSTM-Attention model and its data-physics integrated validation method provide a reliable, interpretable and transferable solution for floating platform motion prediction, which can break through the limitations of single analysis methods, and provide a new research idea for integrating data-driven and physics-based methods in the field of ocean engineering.