Abstract 4370521: Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Cardiovascular Mortality Trends and Place of Death in Patients with Diabetes Mellitus (2018-2023): A Nationwide Analysis

S Shoaib Ahmad H Hoor Ul Ain (MBBSMC, Mirpur AJK, Pakistan) D Dawood Ahmed (Punjab Medical College, Faisalabad, Pakistan) S Shkaib Ahmad (Ghazi Khan Medical College, Dera Ghazi Khan, Pakistan) S Shahzaib Ahmed (Fatima Memorial Hospital College, Lahore, Pakistan) E Eeman Ahmad (Fatima Memorial Hospital College, Lahore, Pakistan) S Sifwah Safdar (Allama Iqbal Medical College, Lahore, Pakistan)

Abstract

Background: The COVID-19 pandemic disrupted healthcare systems and significantly impacted individuals with chronic conditions. Research Question: What was the impact of the pandemic on diabetes mellitus (DM) as a contributing condition on cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality trends and place of death? Methods: Using the CDC WONDER database (2018–2023), we identified deaths due to CVD (ICD-10 codes: I00–I99) in individuals with DM (ICD-10 codes: E10-E14) in the United States. The study was divided into pre-COVID (2018-2019), during COVID (2020-2021), and post-COVID (2022-2023) periods. Age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) per 100,000 population were stratified by age, sex, race/ethnicity, and regions. Places of death were classified as inpatient, outpatient/ER, home, hospice, or nursing home/long-term care. Results: There were a total of 617,414 deaths due to CVD in patients with DM and the AAMR increased from 22.18 per 100,000 pre-COVID to 26.24 during COVID and remained high at 25.84 post-COVID. AAMR increased across all age groups during the pandemic, with the most increase among adults aged 25-44 (+29.8%), followed by 45-64 (+20.8%) and ≥65 (+17.3%) which decreased by 4.68%, 4.02% and 0.73% post-COVID respectively (Table 1). Home deaths increased considerably from 40.6% (69,344 of 170,777) pre-COVID to 46.2% (94,512 of 204,566) during COVID-19, with a slight decline to 45.1% (94,020 of 208,388) post-COVID. In contrast, deaths in nursing homes (−2.67%), outpatient/ER settings (−1.07%), and inpatient (−1.68%) declined during COVID. Regionally, the South had greatest increase in AAMR (+21.3%) which increased to (+23.2%) post-COVID, followed by the West (+16.2% to +13.3%), Midwest (+16.6% to 12.6%), and Northeast (+15.8% to +9.4). Males and females had a comparable mortality increase during the pandemic (+18% and 17.9%) while non-Hispanic individuals had a higher increase in AAMR (+17.1%) as compared to Hispanics (+10.6%). Among races, Black individuals had the highest AAMR increase (+23.6%), followed by Asian (+21%), White (+17%), and American Indian or Alaska Native (+6.2%). Conclusion: The COVID-19 pandemic was associated with considerable rise in CVD mortality in patients with DM, especially younger adults. This trend continued post-COVID and a considerable and lasting shift in place of death toward home settings was observed. These disparities underscore systemic gaps in prevention and chronic disease management that were magnified during the pandemic.

Article Details

Journal Circulation
Volume / Issue Vol. 152, Issue Suppl_3
Published November 04, 2025
ISSN 0009-7322
Publisher Lippincott Williams & Wilkins

Journal Info

Circulation

Lippincott Williams & Wilkins

ISSN: 0009-7322 Health Sciences

Authors (7)

S

Shoaib Ahmad

H

Hoor Ul Ain

MBBSMC, Mirpur AJK, Pakistan

D

Dawood Ahmed

Punjab Medical College, Faisalabad, Pakistan

S

Shkaib Ahmad

Ghazi Khan Medical College, Dera Ghazi Khan, Pakistan

S

Shahzaib Ahmed

Fatima Memorial Hospital College, Lahore, Pakistan

E

Eeman Ahmad

Fatima Memorial Hospital College, Lahore, Pakistan

S

Sifwah Safdar

Allama Iqbal Medical College, Lahore, Pakistan