Abstract 4370047: Creation of U.S. Population-Based, Age- and Sex-Specific Percentile Reference Standards for Atherogenic Lipid Measurements

J John Wilkins (Northwestern University, Chicago, Illinois, United States) A Abigail Gauen (Northwestern University, Chicago, Illinois, United States) L Lucia Petito (Northwestern University, Chicago, Illinois, United States) N Norrina Allen (NORTHWESTERN UNIVERSITY, Chicago, Illinois, United States)

Abstract

Background: Atherogenic lipid concentrations (non-HDL-C, LDL-C, and apoB) typically increase during young adulthood. However, “normal” ranges used in clinical care are derived from distributions from middle-aged populations, potentially underestimating lipid burden in young adults. Age- and sex-specific percentiles may provide a more accurate understanding of lipid burden across the life course. Methods: We used National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) data from 1999-August 2023, including adults aged 18 to 79 years with non-missing non-HDL-C, LDL-C, or apoB. For participants reporting treatment with statins, we imputed underlying lipid measures using censored data methods. We created age- and sex-specific lipid percentiles in a “healthy” cohort, defined as body mass index >18.5 and <30 kg/m 2 , glucose <126 mg/dL, no diabetes, and no ASCVD, using a modified LMS estimation procedure as done for the 2000 CDC Pediatric Growth Charts. Results: We included 4,723, 4,596, and 2,979 participants in our healthy non-HDL-C, LDL-C, and apoB participant samples, respectively, for the creation of percentiles; 52% were female. Estimated treatment effects assuming imputed underlying lipids in treated adults corresponded to mean percent reductions of 28%, 31%, and 26% for non-HDL-C, LDL-C, and apoB, respectively. As expected, the absolute lipid levels reflected in age-specific percentiles were higher in middle age than in young adulthood (Figure). For men, the median (IQR) lipid values (in mg/dL) for ages 18-40, 41-60, and 61-79y were 137 (119-151), 168 (166-169), and 159 (154-163) for non-HDL-C; 115 (101-125), 139 (137-139), and 134 (131-136) for LDL-C; and 89 (79-97), 108 (106-109), and 107 (106-108) for apoB, respectively. For women, the median values for ages 18-40, 41-60, and 61-79y were 117 (108-127), 152 (145-158), and 172 (168-174) for non-HDL-C; 100 (90-109), 132 (126-136), and 145 (143-145) for LDL-C; and 78 (73-83), 99 (95-103), and 111 (109-111) for apoB, respectively. Conclusion: The lipid levels represented by age- and sex-specific percentiles vary substantially across adulthood, indicating that percentile-based assessments may better reflect lipid burden across the adult life course than absolute values obtained from middle-aged adults. Further research is needed to evaluate their predictive value for cumulative lipid exposure and ASCVD risk, as well as their interpretability and acceptance in clinical practice.

Article Details

Journal Circulation
Volume / Issue Vol. 152, Issue Suppl_3
Published November 04, 2025
ISSN 0009-7322
Publisher Lippincott Williams & Wilkins

Journal Info

Circulation

Lippincott Williams & Wilkins

ISSN: 0009-7322 Health Sciences

Authors (4)

J

John Wilkins

Northwestern University, Chicago, Illinois, United States

A

Abigail Gauen

Northwestern University, Chicago, Illinois, United States

L

Lucia Petito

Northwestern University, Chicago, Illinois, United States

N

Norrina Allen

NORTHWESTERN UNIVERSITY, Chicago, Illinois, United States