Abstract 4366542: Trends and Demographic Disparities in Ventricular Septal Defects-related Mortality Among the United States Population, 1999-2023

A Adeena Jamil (Dow International Medical College, Karachi, Pakistan) K Kumail Mustafa Ali (Jinnah Sindh Medical University, Karachi, Pakistan) M Muhammad Haleem Nasar (Northwest School of Medicine, Peshawar , Pakistan) S S.M Washaqul Arfin (Ziauddin University, Karachi, Pakistan) A Allahdad Khan (Nishtar Medical University, Multan, Pakistan) A Asra Siddiqi (Dow University of Health Sciences, Karachi, Pakistan) M Muhammad Mubariz (Doctors Hospital at Renaissance, Edinburg, Texas, United States) F Fnu Pirih (People’s University of Medical and Health Sciences for Women, Nawabshah, Pakistan) H Hasnan Arshad (St. Francis Medical Center, Monroe, Louisiana, United States)

Abstract

Background: Ventricular Septal Defects (VSDs) are the most common congenital heart defect in children, affecting about 1 in 500 newborns in the United States, and are the second most prevalent cardiac defect in adults. However, limited data is available on demographic disparities in VSD-related mortality within the US. Aims: We assessed the trends in VSD-related mortality among the US population with an emphasis on age-related, racial, and geographic differences. Methods: The CDC WONDER multiple-cause of death database was analyzed from 1999 to 2023 for VSD-related mortality across all age categories, using the ICD-10 code Q21.0 (Ventricular Septal Defect). Crude mortality rates (CMRs) and age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated per 1,000,000 for age, year, sex, race, region, state, and urbanization status. Annual percentage change (APC) was determined by Joinpoint regression. Results: From 1999 to 2023, 8,601 deaths in the US were attributed to VSDs, with nearly two-thirds occurring in individuals <45 years. The AAMR declined from 1.8 in 1999 to 0.9 in 2012 (APC: -4.8; 95% CI: -8.2, -3.7), then stabilized through 2023 (APC: 0.8, 95% CI: -1.6, 7.2). Infants less than a year old accounted for the most deaths (38.4%) and the highest overall CMRs (33.6) which declined from 46.1 in 1999 to 25.6 in 2013 (APC: -3.2; 95% CI: -6.9, -1.9), then increased to 36.1 in 2023 (APC: 2.8; 95% CI: 0.2, 11.4). CMRs in other age groups either declined or remained stable. Female deaths (53.3%) exceeded male deaths (46.7%), though similar AAMRs were seen (1999: 1.7 vs 1.8; 2023: 0.9 vs 0.9). By race, the highest AAMRs were noted among the non-Hispanic (NH) Blacks (1.2), followed by NH Whites (1.1) and Hispanics/Latinos (0.9). Regionally, the West and Midwest had the highest AAMRs (1.2). Rural areas had higher mortality rates (1.3) than urban areas (1.1). Moreover, states in the top 90th percentile of VSD-related mortality included Iowa, the District of Columbia, West Virginia, Maine, and New Mexico. Conclusion: After declining until 2012, VSD-related mortality rates have stabilized through 2023, although a concerning rise in infant deaths has emerged since 2013. Higher death rates, noted among infants, NH Blacks, Western, Midwestern, and rural residents, highlight the need for targeted surveillance, timely diagnosis, equitable access to specialized care and further research into the factors driving these patterns.

Article Details

Journal Circulation
Volume / Issue Vol. 152, Issue Suppl_3
Published November 04, 2025
ISSN 0009-7322
Publisher Lippincott Williams & Wilkins

Journal Info

Circulation

Lippincott Williams & Wilkins

ISSN: 0009-7322 Health Sciences

Authors (9)

A

Adeena Jamil

Dow International Medical College, Karachi, Pakistan

K

Kumail Mustafa Ali

Jinnah Sindh Medical University, Karachi, Pakistan

M

Muhammad Haleem Nasar

Northwest School of Medicine, Peshawar , Pakistan

S

S.M Washaqul Arfin

Ziauddin University, Karachi, Pakistan

A

Allahdad Khan

Nishtar Medical University, Multan, Pakistan

A

Asra Siddiqi

Dow University of Health Sciences, Karachi, Pakistan

M

Muhammad Mubariz

Doctors Hospital at Renaissance, Edinburg, Texas, United States

F

Fnu Pirih

People’s University of Medical and Health Sciences for Women, Nawabshah, Pakistan

H

Hasnan Arshad

St. Francis Medical Center, Monroe, Louisiana, United States